5:05pm Milton Update

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Milton approaching the Florida Coast

Based on the latest radar and other trends, the eye should move ashore along or between the two arrows. Near the eye and for about 50 miles to the south a catastrophic storm surge will occur. 
It is still possible that the eye will move through Tampa Bay. The eyewall will cross the coast with 120 mph winds and a few higher gusts. Power outages will rapidly increase through the evening and overnight hours and the power will be out for days or weeks in most areas. 

Milton will be a historic storm. I wrote about its effects on the economy, et cetera, over at LinkedIn. 

Most of the power outages up to the moment are due to tornadoes and damaging thunderstorm winds earlier in the day. But note the green tinting near the coast: that is due to the approaching hurricane. All of that will spread inland this evening. 

More than a foot of rain will fall causing severe flash flooding and flooding on major rivers. 

The rash of tornadoes that has occurred today will continue into this evening and overnight. 
The yellow hatched area has an enhanced risk of strong tornadoes. The brown area has a significant risk. Please monitor local storm warnings the rest of today and tonight. 

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