2pm Sunday: Heads Up Texas and Louisiana

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This forecast has been updated.



2pm Update: The information from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicates winds of 45-50 mph, or a little stronger, at the surface. These are tropical storm-level winds. The plane has not yet surveyed enough of the area to know whether winds are in a circular pattern that would indicate a tropical storm. 

I will update when more information becomes available late this afternoon or early this evening. 


--- original posting ---

The National Hurricane Center says there is a 90% chance of a tropical storm forming within the red area.
A Hurricane Hunter aircraft will investigate the storm and watches may be issued later today. 

My original forecast, made yesterday, of a tropical storm still looks good. However, I believe the threat to the Mexican State of Tamaulipas is less than it appeared yesterday with the exception of strong winds and high surf along the immediate coast. 

Here is a list of all of the models' potential tracks this morning. However, this is not an exact forecast. I'm showing this as an illustration, only.
Of course, I will continue to update this situation. 

Addition: 

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