There is a 60% chance, according to the National Hurricane Center, of a tropical depression forming this weekend. The models are all over the place and my confidence in this forecast is not high, Nevertheless, if you live in the orange area, please keep up on the weather the next few days. 

Scroll Down for Severe Thunderstorm Watches  Tornadoes and Wind Gusts to 90 mph have been observed  this evening.  The yellow area has a significant risk of wind gusts of 65 mph or stronger. The red area has an enhanced  risk. The hatched area is where wind gusts of 75 mph or stronger are likely to occur.  The severe thunderstorm watch calls for 80 mph winds, tennis ball hail as well as tornadoes. Please keep up on the weather throughout the watch area and the forecast area above. 

Updated Forecast at 6:20pm The yellow area has a signifiant risk of wind gusts of 60 mph or stronger. The red area has an  enhanced  risk. The hatched area is where winds may exceed 75 mph. 

The National Hurricane Center says there is a 60% chance of a tropical depression forming during the next seven days in the hatched area. 

The forecast of tornadoes and 70 mph winds is in effect until 4am.  -- original forecast, still valid --- The yellow area has an enhanced  risk of tornadoes after about 5pm. The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes after 3pm. Please keep up on the latest weather information.  The yellow area has a significant risk of wind gusts of 60 mph or stronger. The hatched area is where wind gusts of 75 mph or stronger are forecast to occur. Again, please monitor the weather in these areas. 

This is a tornado this afternoon that struck Middle Tennessee State University. Published on Twitter a little while ago: So, I looked at the thunderstorm in question on both of the radars in the area. The Nashville TDWR data just before the tornado, when a warning would have been issued, is below.  There is no indication of a tornado on either radar. There is such a thing as an unwarnable tornado and this was one of them. The NWS was not at fault. 

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The immortal words of Glenn Reynolds: I'll believe global warming is a crisis when the people telling me it's a  crisis start acting like its a crisis. 

... here are links to Olympics advertisers you can contact to register your displeasure.  https://apps.statefarm.com/CustomerForms/GeneralContactUsForm.htm https://about.ads.microsoft.com/en/support/united-states?adobe_mc_sdid=SDID%3D4D307BBBE958C11A-48FBD763F19AC689%7CMCORGID%3DEA76ADE95776D2EC7F000101%40AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1722197934   https://www.coors.com/contact-us https://www.bouncefresh.com/en-us/contact-us https://www.homes.com/about/contact-us/ This is my last posting on this topic. If we want these "not safe for children" and sacrilegious things to stop, the best way to do it is to communicate with advertisers and stop purchasing their products. And, to not vote for those who encourage them:

There is a weak tropical wave at the "X." As it moves west northwest, there is some possibility, 40%, Wednesday or after, that a tropical depression or tropical storm could form. The models are all over the place. I agree with the National Hurricane Center the chance is less than 50/50. If a tropical system forms, I do not believe there is a significant risk to the United States' coast before Saturday. However, if you do not have your hurricane season 2024 supplies as yet, now would be a good time.

Considering Los Angeles is the host city in 2028, it is hard to figure if the Bee  is joking or serious.  The moral decay of society in the West -- and, the USA in particular -- can only be fought with God's help. Please go to church today!  Worshipping only on  Christmas and Easter isn't cutting it.  We people of faith need to redouble our efforts -- not just by going to church (or synagogue or mosque) -- but by speaking out, working to elect quality candidates, and using our economic power (hello, Bud Light!) to fight advertisers who spread filth.  How do we fight back?  I was really looking forward to the Olympics. Now, I'm not going to watch -- at all. If NBC and the International Olympic Committee see a huge drop in viewers, the advertisers will demand refunds, and NBC + IOC will stop opening and closing ceremonies last last night's because of the loss of money. We must live our faith by not patronizing immoral activities, or watching immoral movi...

A Meteorologist Wrote This Afternoon "Something" -- My Least Favorite Term in Tropical Meteorology As I Wrote Two Days Ago Since that clump of clouds might turn into "something," what might it be? Tricycle? Restaurant? Painting? I really wish meteorologists would speak/write, "tropical storm" or "tropical depression" when they are talking about developing tropical weather and stop this silly dancing around.  As I wrote earlier this week, we don't worry about tropical weather system on this blog until they are seven days from reaching the United States. We don't try to create worry to get clicks. And, when there is a looming storm, we will clearly communicate about it. 

I was getting a haircut this afternoon and the 2024 Olympics' Opening Ceremony was on live (2:30pm in Wichita is 9:30pm in Paris). It was generally sickening.  NBC will show this in prime time this evening and I wanted to give you fair warning as to what to expect. Below are three screen captures. And, in a trend that I hoped died two decades ago, there were multiple mimes. NBC's Mike Tirico praised French "culture" multiple times through this travesty.  So, watch if you wish but I thought you might wish to know before you expose children to it.  P.S. I'm watching the great Chariots of Fire  this evening (which I taped several days ago) in stead of the putrid opening ceremonies. 

Since April, there have been three Southwest Airlines (SWA) flights that have had serous drops in altitude that, at least as far as the media I have seen, no one seems to be tying the three together.  The first was off the Island of Kauai on April 11.  The plane was headed to the Lihue Airport. The radar shows solid thunderstorms in the area. According to news reports, in addition to the thunderstorm-caused turbulence, the flying pilot pushed the control column down and the plane dropped 400 feet. The thunderstorms are so widespread, one can question whether the plane should ever have taken off from Honolulu. It is against FAA regulations to fly into a thunderstorm , in addition to the thunderstorms appearing on the National Weather Service's radar (below), it would have clearly showed up on the pilot's own radar.  The second was under clear skies outside of Oklahoma City.  Air traffic control had to contact the SWA crew and ask them to check their altitude.  On...

Yale's Climate Connections is one of Big Climate's mouthpieces (public relations organizations) that is lavishly funded to help you and me but -- especially -- politicians believe in scary global warming.  This latest article wonders (almost hopes) we have some catastrophic disaster that would -- finally, at last -- make people get really concerned about global warming. The fact that the public has been nearly drowned in both global warming science and nonsense for the past 36 years (!!) hasn't produced the results they want (nearly complete control of trillions of dollars of resources and an assault on our First Amendment rights) doesn't discourage them. They have plenty of money and time -- after all, this is what they get paid for.  The problem is that the weather is less bad than it was ~100 years ago. Consider these United States records: Worst flood in U.S. history?  1927 Worst tornado?  1925 Worst heat and dust storm?  1931-1936 Worst hurricane by streng...

I'm going to try to give you some impressions without spoilers.  Liked the movie; the three others in our party liked it more than I. I suspect that was because I was influenced by the too-many scientific errors. There's not much chemistry between Kate and Tyler, the two leads.  Kate and Tyler are probably the two worst storm chasers in history. I can't explain why without spoiling parts of the movie but I suspect you'll figure out what I mean.  Twisters  was probably the least impressive IMAX movie I've seen. Normally, I love IMAX but it didn't seem to be more vivid or exciting than I suspect it would on a regular screen. That said, the special effects are terrific.  A movie theatre (for the same reasons as a non-reinforced gym) is a terrible place to shelter during a tornado. The roof can too easily collapse.  Hope Reed Timmer and Pecos Hank received payment for the use of their characters.  I give the movie  three out 🌪️🌪️🌪️ of four funnel c...

We do not  attempt to make hurricane forecasts more than seven days into the future and, generally, we do not really focus on them until they are about five days out. That is plenty of time to take protective action. The "there's 'something' [hate that term] off the African coast that might do something  in about two weeks," broadcast by The Weather Channel and others is lame and stirs apprehension -- plus, those forecasts are often wrong.  We will do a fine job (just look back at our forecast that had Houston the area of concern for Hurricane Beryl before the NWS) covering hurricanes and tropical storms and give you plenty of time to react. If it costs me "clicks" and advertising revenue, so be it. It is never our goal to frighten people. 

I cannot believe I have to write this again but, In the Eye of the Storm's  derecho episode shows drivers pulling under a bridge -- and, in this case, getting away with it without injury., This is a terrible idea. People have been killed doing it. Please don't!! P.S. I am seeing Twisters  tonight. I'll have some brief comments tomorrow. 

Bad News: The yellow area has a significant risk of wind gusts of 65 mph or stronger.  Excellent News The models go out to August 3 and, as of now, there's nothing to indicate a tropical storm will form that day or the next; which is as far as I care to speculate. 

Now, Big Climate wants to “geoengineer” our climate. This is an incredibly dangerous activity but, evidently, the Biden/Harris Administration is all for it. The risk of “unintended consequences” is high.  The story is here .  What do I mean by "unintended consequences"?   Here’s a recent example. In the 2010’s, it was decided that the sulfur used in the fuel for oceanic shipping fuels had to be eliminated. Via treaty, in 2020, the new fuels were adopted worldwide. And, guess what?  The new, cleaner, fuels are contributing to global warming and making our world hotter.   This was the opposite of the intended effect. See headlines below: So now, even though we have vast gaps in our understanding of the earth-atmosphere-ocean system, we are dumping toxic chemicals into the ocean to "fix the climate." Here's the very basic question: how do we determine the climate has been "fixed"?  By what metric? Temperatures? Number of storms? What? Climate scientists r...

In Europe, they are closing solar panel manufacturing plants that were opened just three years ago. You'll find the details here .  Remember: today's global warming movement isn't about saving the planet. It is about money and power. 

Given all of the confusion, this is more important than ever!!

I agree: the constant, unscientific nagging of climate alarmists certainly makes the days seem  longer! But The Guardian  means it literally.  Global warming: Is there anything it can't do?!

His letter... Parting thought: seems like an actual  insurrection. 

Below is a Amazon's AI-generated review from all of the purchasers' comments: It is a great book. To learn more, go here . Happy Reading!!

And, wasn't this hurricane season supposed to be an early one? While Beryl was the earliest Cat 5 in history, what is occurring in this forecast-to-be-unprecedented hurricane season is .... nothing.  While August and September are, climatologically, the worst months hurricane seasons, this forecast -- which runs to July 27 -- would have been unexpected to the "sky is falling" climate alarmist crowd.