4:40pm Update: Tornado Watch, Severe Thunderstorm Watch, and Downburst Threat Through This Evening

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NWS has issued a tornado watch for the area outlined in red. 
Our thinking is somewhat similar as to the area threatened (see below). Please note the NWS says there is a "moderate" risk of EF-2 ("strong") tornadoes. 

Below, the radar at 4pm with the tornado (amber) plotted with the storms. Addition at 4:23pm: 77 mph winds have been clocked at the Hutchinson airport and just southwest of the Salina in downbursts.

The NWS, at 4:35pm, issued this severe thunderstorm watch -- primarily for downburst winds to 80 mph. 
I'm having some technical issues with Twitter and so cannot live tweet storms this evening. 


-- original, still valid, posting ---

In the Great Plains, there are two areas where the weather should be watched the rest of the afternoon through about 10pm.

The red area is where tornadoes, along with hail and damaging thunderstorm winds, are possible. 

The brown area is where downburst winds to 65 mph are quite likely. 

There is also a significant risk of tornadoes in North Dakota and far east Montana. 

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