The Odd Lack of NWS Freezing Rain Watches/Warnings

By -

10:20pm Note: This forecast is still valid. 

Below, you will find my forecast of the location of freezing rain beginning about this time tomorrow and continuing into Monday morning. But, oddly, the National Weather Service (NWS) doesn't seem to have a sense of urgency about telling people. 

My forecast from 12:45pm (scroll down) is unchanged. 

As of 4:15pm, a NWS winter storm watch is out for parts of Oklahoma and Arkansas (see below) but that's it. 

My first thought was they have a different opinion of the evolving weather than I. So, I started looking at the NWS forecaster discussions at Oklahoma City (late and unavailable) and Springfield, MO. 
The latter says:
A "60 to 90% chance of hazardous road conditions" and they don't feel a winter storm watch or advisory is warranted? Especially since it is the weekend, people need time to make alternative plans. Worse, an index of likelihood of ice-related power outages in the reason is non-zero in that part of the Ozarks. These are very good reasons the risk of icing should be highlighted. 

Thursday, I wrote about my correspondence with the National Weather Service pertaining to the serious issues with their tornado warning program. But, it is not only tornadoes. Increasingly, it seems as if there is significant reluctance these days to issue warnings and notifications of all types. The good news is the people in the NWS with whom I am corresponding seem open-minded and want to provide quality information. 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

The East Coast Severe Weather Threat is Over

By -
Image
Midnight: The East Coast Threat for Tornadoes and Severe  Thunderstorms Has Ended 3:50pm. Tornado watch for the Middle Atlantic Region. 2:30pm Tornadoes are also forecast in the South. 2:20pm. A couple of tornadoes, hail and wind gusts to 65 mph are possible with these storms. This includes NYC and Philadelphia.  1:05pm. The tornado risk has been extended northward into New York. The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes. Remember: if a tornado warning is issued, go to your basement and get under heavy furniture like a pool table. Of, if your basement is finished, get into the bathroom. Go ahead an put a couple of water bottles and, if appropriate, diapers in your shelter area. Wear shoes.  If you don't have a basement or safe room, go to the lowest floor and get into a bath or closet in the middle of your home. Children should be put in the bathtub.  I'll update later today. 
Read more

Today's Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Outlook - 9:30pm

By -
Image
After 65 mph winds went through Wichita, we have been without power for 35 minutes. So, I am going to have to end coverage for the night (using backup systems to write this). Scroll down for the forecast of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms for Sunday and Sunday night.  Please read down for the latest forecasts regarding this dangerous tornado and damaging wind situation! 5:40pm, a new "regular" tornado watch has been issued for north central Kansas.  Note that wind gusts to 80 mph are likely in this storm in addition to tornadoes and giant hail. Please make sure friends and relatives in the area are aware of the danger in the area outlined in red below plus the red area outlined at 2:50pm  In addition to "several strong tornadoes," hail to 4.8" in diameter is forecast along with wind gusts to 80 mph. Now is the time for persons living in mobile homes, manufactured homes and those with mobility issues should be making plans!!  Do not wait until a tornado warn
Read more

Updated Freezing Rain and Heavy Rain Forecast

By -
Image
Note: An Updated Forecast is Available HERE Freezing Rain The National Weather Service has now issued winter weather advisories, two warnings and a watch. It may be a bit too large but, when it comes to freezing rain and slick roads, caution is usually the better course of action.  Here's a color code: Deep purple is an ice storm warning; serious condition where power outages are possible. Pink is a winter storm warning for significant icing. Deep green is a winter storm watch. I don't know why this is still a watch. If I were on the forecast desk I would have a winter storm warning for icing.  Dark blue is a winter weather advisory, a lesser condition, for icing.  Here is a view of the entire watch/warning/advisory area. The small area of green in Illinois is for flooding and, in Nebraska, for snow.  Here is a forecast of freezing rain amounts; totals to 6am Tuesday.  Color codes: Yellow is 0.25 to 0.50 inches. Power outages may occur in this areas. Deep blue is 0.1 to .25 inc
Read more