1:55pm CDT Severe Weather Threat Update

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A tornado watch has been issued for a large area from Ohio to New Jersey.
I urge people in this region to keep up with the latest weather information! Large hail is also a very significant threat. 

2:45pm EDT radar shows thunderstorms developing rapidly across this area. The red polygons on this map are severe thunderstorm warnings.


In the Midwest, I believe the outlook below from SPC is quite good. However, later data indicates the higher threat has enlarged farther south into north central Oklahoma. So, I have added red
stripes to indicate where I believe scattered supercell thunderstorms with very large hail and, perhaps, destructive tornadoes could occur as the dry line is strengthening significantly. This includes Wichita, Emporia, Salina and Manhattan. The dry line extends from Russell, Kansas, to Alva, OK and is moving east. Thunderstorms will form in the next couple of hours along and east of that line.


Note: I'm storm chasing the rest of the day. Please follow me on Twitter @usweatherexpert. 

 UPDATE: 1:556PM. Just as I pushed the "publish" button, SPC issued a second tornado watch. This is for Kansas and Missouri and includes Kansas City.
Note: NWS SPC says there is a "high" risk of tornadoes in this area and a "moderate" risk of strong tornadoes.

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