Arthur Timing

Because people are trying to make holiday plans, here are a couple of forecast maps. Here is the forecast for 7pm Thursday. The colors represent wind speeds. You can see how the highest winds are focused around the eye.

2am Friday:

7am Friday, the eye leaves land:

Neither map should be considered exact. There will be coastal flooding and wind gusts, in places, in the 90 to 100 mph range over far eastern North Carolina. 

Here is the experimental storm surge map from NHC. In the yellow, 3 to 5 ft. surges are expected.

I'll be updating the blog tomorrow with later information.