More on the Early California Rainy Season

By -
From AccuWeather.

Of course, the problem is the extremely persistent high pressure system over the central United States that is causing Texas' record drought and fire season.  There is no sign of significant change in that high for the next ten days.

Comments

  1. AnonymousSeptember 28, 2011 at 1:48 AM

    This isn't a response to this particular post, but it is your most recent so it is where I will say it: you had found a new follower in me several weeks ago (when Andrew Sullivan linked to you), but you've since lost my attention following your derisions against those you like to call the "climate change" crowd.

    I more-or-less agree with your criticisms of global warming activists but, as a member of the scientific, meteorological community like yourself, I cannot bear to read such blanket ridicule minus any recognition without feeling repulsed myself.

    It is right enough to provide nuance to a complex issue, but you fail to do this. It seems you prefer to sink the whole ship rather than provide a delicate criticism. I'm sorry that you find the science of climatology to be so removed from reality that you prefer 98% of it be disregarded altogether.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Mike SmithSeptember 28, 2011 at 7:39 AM

    @1:48am. Normally, I delete off-topic comments but I'll make an exception in this case because you give me a chance to make an important point:

    Fifteen years ago I would not be treating climate science the way I do now. The data seemed to be supporting their (the Al Gore crowd) hypothesis.

    However, for the last 13 years, world atmospheric temperatures, ocean heat content, hurricane trends, etc., are all far below what was predicted. Yet, we do not receive 1) science-based explanations or 2) humble, "we don't know everything and we are trying to figure it out" answers. Instead, we get more and more strident "science is settled" assertions and scientific nonsense. So, yes, 98% of the high-visibility Gore-related climate science should be disregarded. Note: I'm not saying ALL climate science should be disregarded.

    Climategate proved (yes, proved) that some of the biggest names in climate science were engaged in unethical conduct to "game" climate science by blocking the publication of worthy papers with differing views . One was writing one thing in public ("warming incontrovertible"!) yet, simultaneously, writing [in what they thought would be private], "it is a travesty that we can't account for the lack of warming."

    Finally, in order to be "science", there MUST be a falsifiable hypothesis. As long as global warming is responsible for cold, hot, drought, flood, storms, and "shrinking insects" (in the news yesterday); climate science gets farther and farther away from true "science."

    There are true scientists working away (without publicity) who are ethical and trying to do good work. I respect them.

    But, as temperatures and ocean heat continue to defy their forecasts and remain stagnant, peoples' skepticism toward the Al Gore crowd is fully justified and should only grow.

    Unfortunately, the media reporting on global warming is more biased than any other subject of my lifetime. So, I try to provide some balance. Sorry this disappoints you.

    I do appreciate your concerns and appreciate you taking the time to let me know.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

The East Coast Severe Weather Threat is Over

By -
Image
Midnight: The East Coast Threat for Tornadoes and Severe  Thunderstorms Has Ended 3:50pm. Tornado watch for the Middle Atlantic Region. 2:30pm Tornadoes are also forecast in the South. 2:20pm. A couple of tornadoes, hail and wind gusts to 65 mph are possible with these storms. This includes NYC and Philadelphia.  1:05pm. The tornado risk has been extended northward into New York. The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes. Remember: if a tornado warning is issued, go to your basement and get under heavy furniture like a pool table. Of, if your basement is finished, get into the bathroom. Go ahead an put a couple of water bottles and, if appropriate, diapers in your shelter area. Wear shoes.  If you don't have a basement or safe room, go to the lowest floor and get into a bath or closet in the middle of your home. Children should be put in the bathtub.  I'll update later today. 
Read more

Today's Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Outlook - 9:30pm

By -
Image
After 65 mph winds went through Wichita, we have been without power for 35 minutes. So, I am going to have to end coverage for the night (using backup systems to write this). Scroll down for the forecast of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms for Sunday and Sunday night.  Please read down for the latest forecasts regarding this dangerous tornado and damaging wind situation! 5:40pm, a new "regular" tornado watch has been issued for north central Kansas.  Note that wind gusts to 80 mph are likely in this storm in addition to tornadoes and giant hail. Please make sure friends and relatives in the area are aware of the danger in the area outlined in red below plus the red area outlined at 2:50pm  In addition to "several strong tornadoes," hail to 4.8" in diameter is forecast along with wind gusts to 80 mph. Now is the time for persons living in mobile homes, manufactured homes and those with mobility issues should be making plans!!  Do not wait until a tornado warn
Read more

Updated Freezing Rain and Heavy Rain Forecast

By -
Image
Note: An Updated Forecast is Available HERE Freezing Rain The National Weather Service has now issued winter weather advisories, two warnings and a watch. It may be a bit too large but, when it comes to freezing rain and slick roads, caution is usually the better course of action.  Here's a color code: Deep purple is an ice storm warning; serious condition where power outages are possible. Pink is a winter storm warning for significant icing. Deep green is a winter storm watch. I don't know why this is still a watch. If I were on the forecast desk I would have a winter storm warning for icing.  Dark blue is a winter weather advisory, a lesser condition, for icing.  Here is a view of the entire watch/warning/advisory area. The small area of green in Illinois is for flooding and, in Nebraska, for snow.  Here is a forecast of freezing rain amounts; totals to 6am Tuesday.  Color codes: Yellow is 0.25 to 0.50 inches. Power outages may occur in this areas. Deep blue is 0.1 to .25 inc
Read more