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Concern About Storm Conditions This Winter

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I took this photo during an ice-storm related power outage. As stated many times, I am not a long-range forecaster. However, I continue to see long range model runs that are extremely consistent about this being a colder than average winter with more than usual storminess. Of course, that means a lot of ice and snow.  As winds began to increase, snow stuck to trees and later affected power lines.  It is an unfortunate fact that we simply do not have a sufficient number of electric crews in this nation to do timely restoration if multiple storms knock out power in multiple areas in quick succession.  The Smith Family has increased our store of supplies to five days' worth and that is something I would urge for everyone. And, if you have a baby or infirm adult living with you, I would increase it to seven days. Meteorological fact: very cold conditions often follow winter storms. Make sure you have a way to heat your home and feed and hydrate your family as well as dispose ...
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Now That Spirit is No Longer Flying

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I am so glad the election is over and all of the obnoxious commercials are gone! To give you a smile now that the election is over, watch this brilliant piece from Saturday Night Live . 
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Two Interesting Editorial Cartoons

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Tornado Watch Issued

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--- original post, still valid --- The hatching indicates that any tornado that occurs could be strong. The yellow area has an enhanced risk of a tornado. The brown area has a significant risk.  Please keep up on the weather in these areas today. 
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Updated 9pm - Two Days of Tornado Risk

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Tornado Watch Until 2am CST Sunday and Sunday Night The area in brown has a significant risk of tornadoes; the hatching means that any tornado that occurs may be strong.  The NWS SPC has updated this forecast, especially in the Texas Panhandle. However, I continue to believe the Phoenix-Maricopa County area has a slightly higher risk of a tornado than is shown here.  Monday and Monday Evening Again, the hatched area is where strong tornadoes are forecast and the brown area is where there is a significant risk. Of course, I will update this forecast again tomorrow morning. 
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UPDATED! Record Flooding: Southwest Colorado!

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Catastrophic flooding forecast along the San Juan River in southwest Colorado! 10pm Sunday: The NWS has raised the forecast crest on the San Juan River to an incredible 4' above the previous record at Pagosa Springs. This will be catastrophic flooding! From Taylor Trogdon: The flooding will be worse than the most recent flooding. The river is forecast to crest two feet above the previous record! If you happen to have friends/family in Pagosa Springs or other areas along the river, please call them to make sure they know that the forecast was updated this morning. 
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Sunday Fun: A Major Political Gaffe: Watch the Fun!

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It is said that a "gaffe" is when a politician accidentally tells the truth. There's plenty of truth telling in this, recorded live, video of a Democratic politician in Minnesota in October. Note: she accused the "sheriff's nephew" of threatening her but we learned the sheriff does not have a nephew.  I believe her candid thoughts pretty well represented what the D/socialist candidates think . Generally, a vote for them means more Flock cameras, far less freedom and less free enterprise, i.e., what we dealt with during COVID only made permanent. The only thing they want more of is abortion. The item below is from Twitter yesterday evening. The R's have been highly disappointing the past two years but clearly they are the lesser threat to our freedoms than the D's.  When you go to the "web pages" of the people pushing the socialists, you see this or something like it. Zero names. Zero monetary figures. Nothing. They hide because they know t...
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