Below, I mention that today is the first day of three active days of weather. I'd like to give you  preliminary looks at Sunday and Monday. Sunday The yellow area has an enhanced  risk of tornadoes and any tornadoes that occur could be strong. The brown area has a significant risk and the hatching means any could be strong.  In Nebraska, the brown area includes Lincoln, Beatrice, and Superior. In Oklahoma, the brown area includes Blackwell and Medford.  Monday The National Weather Service expects an outbreak of tornadoes on Monday. There is the serious risk of violent, long-tracked tornadoes -- particularly from southeast Iowa (including Iowa City, Ft. Madison and the Quad Cities into northwest Illinois including Galesburg, Quincy, Peoria and nearby areas. There is also the likelihood of damaging thunderstorm winds and large hail.  I will update this blog tomorrow and Monday, of course; I will also provide more frequent updates on Twitter/X @usweatherexpert ...

Go read the headline a second  time. Yes, it says the opposite of what nutritional science has been telling us for 30+ years.  I'm always amused by people who criticize weather science's forecasting ability when nutritional science seems to change almost weekly. For younger readers, this is how bad it got: Of course, more recently, the advice is the opposite. And, remember, nutrition is not a predictive science.  This is also a cautionary example about science from LinkedIn earlier this week: A scientific "consensus" is meaningless. Science is about what can be replicated and proven -- it is in no way a popularity contest. 

The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes. Where the hatching is located, any tornadoes may be strong. Keep up on the weather in this region. 

It is terribly unfortunate the emergency manager(s) made the decision to sound the tornado sirens in the City of Kansas City.  My daughter was visiting a friend south of downtown KC and she let me know the sirens were going off. Where was the tornado? Twenty-five miles to the northeast with the tornado was moving away  from Kansas City! This is 1960's siren philosophy, "tornadoes are unpredictable so if we are going to sound the sirens in any part of the county, we'll sound them over the entire  county!" A report after the Joplin Tornado found the over-use of their tornado sirens was a factor as to why so many died.  Independence is an east suburb of Kansas City. This is ridiculous. It hurts the credibility of the warning system. It needs to stop!

The tornado risk in the central U.S. is now minimal. So, this ends my storm coverage for the night. In the early morning, I'll have a post up about the highly unfortunate tornado false alarm in Kansas City. Third Tornado Watch of the Day until 11p Second Tornado Watch of the Day The watch is in effect until 9pm. In addition to tornadoes, softball-sized hail  and  thunderstorm-generated wind gusts to 80 mph. Put your car in shelter and bring in trampolines and lawn furniture. 12:45pm First Tornado Watch of the Day Note also the forecast of tennis ball-sized hail. 11:50am The yellow are has an enhanced  risk of tornadoes and, if one forms, it could be strong. The yellow area forecast is unchanged since earlier this morning.  The brown area has a significant chance of tornadoes and, in the hatched area, the tornadoes could be strong. In Iowa, it has been extended north and, in Oklahoma, it has been extended south and east to include Oklahoma City and Tulsa.  Very l...

We are going into another period with a daily tornado or severe thunderstorm threat from tomorrow into next week. From 2pm Thursday to 5am Friday, there is a significant risk of tornadoes in the brown area. The hatching indicates there is a risk that any tornado that forms could be strong. Large or very large hail is also possible in the brown area.  From Friday to at least Monday of next week, there is a risk of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes each day.