Note: I will be providing updates on Twitter/X  @usweatherexpert .  6:15pm Tornado Watch for Kansas City and Wichita 4:45pm, western Oklahoma  3:55pm Another tornado watch has been issued.  3:10pm, second tornado watch, Kansas (only) 1pm update This is a rare  type of tornado watch known as a "particularly dangerous situation" watch. It means that strong or violent tornadoes are likely. I will be updating on Twitter/X but also make sure you monitor weather conditions from trusted sources throughout the afternoon and evening.  3:20p Forecast Using my 4-point scale, here is the key to the maps: The red area has a high  risk of tornadoes. The area with the bold hatching is where strong or violent tornadoes may occur. Based on late data, I am especially concerned about northeast Kansas and the counties that contain I-70 north to the border.  The yellow are has an enhanced risk of tornadoes. The hatching means that any tornado that occurs may be s...

Looks like another busy day for severe thunderstorms in the Central U.S. Monday. I'll have multiple forecasts up during the day. 

7:50pm, Additional Tornado Watch Another Tornado Watch Issued In Kansas, the watch includes Manhattan, Marysville, Plainville, Codell, Wilson Lake and Concordia.  Damaging Wind Threat Increased The pink area is an increase in the geographic area with a high threat of wind gusts to 85 mph into tonight. Please plan accordingly! 1:45pm update Please note, in addition to tornadoes, wind gusts of 85mph  and apple-sized hail are forecast to occur. Please keep a close eye on the weather in the yellow area.  11:40am This forecast was updated at 11:40am. The "significant area" was expanded to the east  Here are the colors and what they mean with this outlook: Red = high  risk of strong tornadoes (indicated by the hatching). Yellow = enhanced risk of strong tornadoes.  Brown = significant risk of strong tornadoes.  There is also the risk of very large hail (2" or larger in much of the hatched area). Please monitor the weather if you live in these areas. Importan...

Update: I-80 is closed from Rock Springs to Laramie.  This is the forecast radar for 10am MDT tomorrow (Monday). 

The NWS is forecasting the potential for violent tornadoes over southeast Nebraska and in a band from northeast into south central Kansas.  The possibility exists for tornadoes from Wisconsin to northwest Texas.  The area where the most violent tornadoes are forecast to occur is the area with bold diagonal hatches from southeast Nebraska, into extreme northwest Missouri and into south central Kansas.  The dashed hatching is where strong tornadoes are forecast to occur. In the red area, there is a high  risk of tornadoes In the yellow area, there is an enhanced risk of tornadoes. In the brown area, there is a significant risk of tornadoes.  If I lived in the highest risk area, I would prepare by making sure my car can be put in the garage and I would bring in lawn furniture. I'd also go to the ATM and get some extra cash, if possible.  Finally, make sure your storm shelter area is ready to go. Always wear shoes, have a couple of bottles of water and some dia...

There is a significant chance of tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging thunderstorm winds in the central United States both Sunday and Monday.  Below is a tornado forecast for Sunday and Sunday Night called "Nadocast." It is usually quite good. It is valid from 6:30a Sunday to 6:30a Monday.  Note that the highest probability is in northwest Iowa (hatching = strong tornado potential). But an enhanced risk (yellow) extends as far south as central Kansas.  I will more on these threats Sunday and Monday.