Long-time readers will recall our policy of verifying our major storm forecasts, whether they were good or bad.  Sunday, I differed considerably from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center's forecast of where tornadoes were going to occur. So, I posted both forecasts. Above is the 9am forecast from my blog : the NWS's tornado forecast was in brown, mine in red. Hatching meant strong tornadoes were possible, per the NWS. I do not attempt to forecast tornado intensity. Now that the affected NWS offices have completed their storm surveys, the result is below.  There were ten tornadoes: inverted triangles are their locations. Clearly our forecast was superior as it encompassed all of the tornadoes. It did not forecast a large tornado threat area (brown) in western Kansas and northern Oklahoma where no tornadoes occurred. The strongest tornado was one of F-2 intensity which is the lowest threshold in the "strong" tornado category. That occurred in south...

...I am not able to update with regard to today's storms. Apologies. 

This person was in such a hurry to criticize President Trump and Vice President Vance last week, she forgot to do some very basic research.  The only problem with her contentions? The U.S. Air Force has its own meteorological service and its own international forecast center and headquarters ( fyi, south of Omaha). The tornado warnings for Air Force bases are issued by the Air Force, not by the National Weather Service. 

Tornado Watch Until 5am Tornado Watch Until 4am Please make sure you have multiple ways to receive a warning in the middle of the night! NWS Says This is a "Particularly Dangerous Situation" Forecast as of 11:50am There is a high  risk of violent tornadoes in the area in red. Violent tornadoes are also possible in the area in yellow which has an enhanced risked of tornadoes. The area in brown has a significant risk and, where there is hatching, the tornadoes may be strong. This is an important day to keep up on the latest weather information!

Tornado Watch Until 4am This could be a dangerous  nighttime tornado situation. Please make sure you have multiple ways of receiving storm warnings during the night! I am continuing to provide updates on Twitter/X @usweatherexpert .   Please follow along and invite your friends and family to do so.  Tornadoes Forecast Until 4am NWS is forecasting "a couple of tornadoes" during the night along with apple-sized hail and 70 mph winds. Some of the models are showing severe thunderstorms in the KC and western Missouri area from 5am to 8am. Please make sure you have some way of receiving warnings during the night.  4th Tornado Watch - Overnight Threat! I'm very concerned about the threat of overnight tornadoes and I am glad the NWS is, too. Note this tornado watch is in effect until 2am.  Third Tornado Watch, 5:15pm This watch includes Tulsa.  Second Tornado Watch This is for Texas and Oklahoma.  Tornado Watch Issued 9am Tornado Forecast My ability to make a...