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Bad Tornado Watch Due to Trump? Answer: NO!

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The answer is NO! The story is a bit of a mess and won't try to explain all of it. Here are the bottom lines: Yes, the tornado forecasts,  including the watch, on the 13th (Monday's tornadoes in Ottawa and in Miami County) were objectively poor. But few meteorologists who are familiar with tornado forecasting believe the weather balloon issue was the determining factor .  As to people, the 5-person team that issues tornado watches has been staffed with five well-qualified meteorologists the entire time. No cuts.  With regard to the tornado warning for Belton on the 17th, it was out six minutes before the tornado even formed. While a little more lead-time would have been nice, 6 minutes is adequate to dash to the basement.  The above said, the senior leadership of the NWS and NOAA need to resolve the weather balloon issue as soon as possible and the resolution should be based on meteorological science rather than convenience. 

I Wish This Were True

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I wish that were true.  East Wichita suffered a tornado* in September 1992 that was accompanied by a tremendous hailstorm to the north of its path. Our home had 3" hail and needed a new roof. Hail often accompanies the stronger tornadoes.  *The tornado struck a particularly junky area and there was a joke this tornado had "the potential to cause millions of dollars of improvements." As it turned out, it didn't. They rebuilt it as junky as it was before. Sigh. 

No Significant Tornado Risk Until Thursday

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Friday's severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. There will be quite few more tornadoes added when the damage surveys are completed.  For your weekly planning, we don't expect to have to deal with tornadoes on any significant basis until Thursday of this week.  Hopefully, that will give the numerous damaged areas time to recover and give first responders a break. 

Nice Rainbow This Evening

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The wonderful Kansas sky! Click to see the second photo. 

"Sarah For Wisconsin:" Hail is Proof of Global Warming

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In a rather unhinged rant -- that has been removed from her Twitter/X feed -- Sarah Godlewsky says that hail in Wisconsin is proof of climate change. Fortunately, someone grabbed the rant and you can view it here . Sarah is Secretary of State for Wisconsin. In her rant she says we are "ignoring the environment." We've spent $16 trillion on global warming! And, most of it stupidly! Sarah evidently lives in Madison. The University of Wisconsin with its excellent meteorology department is also based there. I recommend Sarah take its basic meteorology class. In it, she will learn the difference between climate and weather. Wisconsin has always had hail and will always have hail.  In addition, the 1984 Barneveld, WI F-5 tornado was one of the worst in the history of the United States and it occurred at night. Global average temperatures were quite a bit cooler in 1984 (we had just finished the mid-20th Century cooling that climate scientists still cannot explain) -- so you ce...

3rd Tornado Watch Issued - Another Dangerous Weather Day

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Update: 3:31pm Update at 1:44pm In addition to tornadoes, softball size hail and wind gusts of 85 mph are likely! Note that, in addition to tornadoes, softball  size hail and wind gusts to 70 mph are forecast.  Updated 11:40am This is a day to keep up on the weather! I will be providing additional real-time updates on Twiter/X   @usweatherexpert.  Tornado Risk The Upper Midwest yellow area with counter-hatching is where is an  enhanced  probability of  violent  tornadoes. This is a rare forecast.  The yellow areas with regular hatching is where strong tornadoes are forecast.  The brown area with hatching has a significant risk of tornadoes and the hatching means they could be strong. The brown unhatched areas have a significant risk of tornadoes.  I have added the yellow area in the central Great Plains.  Extreme Damaging Winds Dark hatching indicates winds of 85+ mph forecast. Hatching indicates gusts of 75 mph or stronger are...

Thank You for Reading My Blog

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I appreciate so many of you reading my blog this week. Thank you!