Blue is the tropical storm warning for Nihau and Kauai. Red is the hurricane warning for the (largely unpopulated) Hawaii Atolls. Note the track has been shifted a bit to the east again and it would not surprise me if it were shifted east again with the forecast issued this afternoon (Hawaii time).  Wind gusts of 70+ mph are possible on Niihau. Wind gusts of 50-60 mph are possible on Kauai, especially at the higher elevations and near Barking Sands and the Na' Pali Coast, including the Canyon rim .  I am very concerned about flash flooding and possible landslides.  Please follow instructions from local authorities.  From the National Hurricane Center: KEY MESSAGES: 1. Lowell's center is forecast to pass just west of Kauai County late Monday into early Tuesday. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect f...

This is what we like to see! If this is (high confidence) forecast is correct, it will take us into record territory with regard to hurricanes and the Atlantic Basin.

An excellent point! --- original post --- Why is the timing of college football games evidently top secret? This conforms with what the official NCAA rules say.  Like many, I was appalled by the outcome of last night's Western Michigan v Michigan game. Multiple sources, both TV and sports magazine, say the timing of all devices are synched. Great! That is as it should be.  I spent time with Grok last night and it, plus the NBC rules analyst, say the stadium and TV times displayed are the official time.  If so, then the clock expired while the ball was in the air and Western Michigan won. Period. Yet, there is an evidently a super-secret, password-protected, decoder ring, eyes-only timing system that is the ultra-special official, official-official game timing. And, it is the one (even though we can't see it) that determines the game. Absurd! This is an important point. Put a $3 GPS chip into each of these devices, set them to "countdown" mode -- problem solved! Now th...

Blue = tropical storm warning for Niihau and Kauai. Red is a hurricane warning for the western Hawaii Atoll but I'm unclear as to why that was issued so far west.  Considerable flooding with possible landslides are forecast for Kauai. I can't emphasize how dangerous the surf will be, especially on the south and west sides of each of the islands. 

The forecast is unchanged since earlier this morning (Hawaiian time). The storm is still expected to be a major hurricane when it makes its closest approach to Kauai and Niihau.  Here is the outlook for those two islands: Storm surge 1-3 feet. Dangerous, life-threatening surf, especially on the south and west beaches.  Flooding rains possible with as much as 10" of rain. The rains will begin Sunday afternoon and continue until midweek. Note: 10" also possible The Big Island.  Landslides possible. Note: it has been my experience that airlines sometimes cancel flights -- where cancellations are not necessary -- when dealing with hurricanes. It would not surprise me at all to see flights cancelled to Lihue, Kauai, before this is over. If you want to leave, I recommend you leave asap. 

There was a tornado Thursday in Detroit and the NWS provided about 30 minutes of advance warning. Congratulations on this outstanding performance!