Tornado Watch Until 4am This could be a dangerous  nighttime tornado situation. Please make sure you have multiple ways of receiving storm warnings during the night! I am continuing to provide updates on Twitter/X @usweatherexpert .   Please follow along and invite your friends and family to do so.  Tornadoes Forecast Until 4am NWS is forecasting "a couple of tornadoes" during the night along with apple-sized hail and 70 mph winds. Some of the models are showing severe thunderstorms in the KC and western Missouri area from 5am to 8am. Please make sure you have some way of receiving warnings during the night.  4th Tornado Watch - Overnight Threat! I'm very concerned about the threat of overnight tornadoes and I am glad the NWS is, too. Note this tornado watch is in effect until 2am.  Third Tornado Watch, 5:15pm This watch includes Tulsa.  Second Tornado Watch This is for Texas and Oklahoma.  Tornado Watch Issued 9am Tornado Forecast My ability to make a...

Three Straight Days of Dangerous Storms For Saturday and Saturday Night 10:50pm Tornado watch until 5am. This includes Dallas and Ft. Worth 5:35pm Radar at 5:30pm. Gold counties = tornado watch. Pink counties = severe thunderstorm watch.  4:20pm Update The red tint is the tornado watch which calls for "intense" tornadoes, 4" in diameter and thunderstorm-generated winds of 80 mph. As of 4:15pm, thunderstorms were beginning to develop in the southwest part of the watch.  I will not be able to provide my continuous coverage this afternoon, so please monitor trusted weather sources.  11:45am update There is an enhanced  risk of tornadoes in the yellow area and any tornadoes could be strong. Update: the solid cross hatching is where the NWS is forecasting violent  tornadoes.  The brown area has a significant risk and there, too, the tornadoes could be strong. The primary threat should be after 3pm.  This the hail forecast. Where you see the bold cross-hatch...

Below, I mention that today is the first day of three active days of weather. I'd like to give you  preliminary looks at Sunday and Monday. Sunday The yellow area has an enhanced  risk of tornadoes and any tornadoes that occur could be strong. The brown area has a significant risk and the hatching means any could be strong.  In Nebraska, the brown area includes Lincoln, Beatrice, and Superior. In Oklahoma, the brown area includes Blackwell and Medford.  Monday The National Weather Service expects an outbreak of tornadoes on Monday. There is the serious risk of violent, long-tracked tornadoes -- particularly from southeast Iowa (including Iowa City, Ft. Madison and the Quad Cities into northwest Illinois including Galesburg, Quincy, Peoria and nearby areas. There is also the likelihood of damaging thunderstorm winds and large hail.  I will update this blog tomorrow and Monday, of course; I will also provide more frequent updates on Twitter/X @usweatherexpert ...

Go read the headline a second  time. Yes, it says the opposite of what nutritional science has been telling us for 30+ years.  I'm always amused by people who criticize weather science's forecasting ability when nutritional science seems to change almost weekly. For younger readers, this is how bad it got: Of course, more recently, the advice is the opposite. And, remember, nutrition is not a predictive science.  This is also a cautionary example about science from LinkedIn earlier this week: A scientific "consensus" is meaningless. Science is about what can be replicated and proven -- it is in no way a popularity contest. 

The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes. Where the hatching is located, any tornadoes may be strong. Keep up on the weather in this region. 

It is terribly unfortunate the emergency manager(s) made the decision to sound the tornado sirens in the City of Kansas City.  My daughter was visiting a friend south of downtown KC and she let me know the sirens were going off. Where was the tornado? Twenty-five miles to the northeast with the tornado was moving away  from Kansas City! This is 1960's siren philosophy, "tornadoes are unpredictable so if we are going to sound the sirens in any part of the county, we'll sound them over the entire  county!" A report after the Joplin Tornado found the over-use of their tornado sirens was a factor as to why so many died.  Independence is an east suburb of Kansas City. This is ridiculous. It hurts the credibility of the warning system. It needs to stop!