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3:05pm Wednesday Update on Hurricane Rafael

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Current winds in Hurricane Rafael are 115 mph. This is likely the highest winds the storm will produce.  By the end of the forecast period, the winds are forecast to have weakened to 40 mph. However, there is very low confidence in the forecast path is indicated by the huge white area (the "confidence interval) by 72 hours into the storm's path.  Currently, the center of the storm is moving over Cuba (see below). Moving over Cuba's rough terrain will cause weakening. As the storm turns farther to the west, drier air and unfavorable atmospheric conditions will cause the weakening. Hopefully, we'll know tomorrow with greater confidence where the storm will ultimately go.

Congratulations to President-Elect Trump

Best wishes to you and to J. D. Vance on your election. 

The Protests Worked -- FAA Keeping Its Meteorologists

The FAA says it will keep staff meteorologists at 21 air traffic control centers. A few days after the union representing the weather specialists issued a press release saying the agency planned to get rid of them in favor of automated systems, the agency said it wasn't so. "The Federal Aviation Administration and the National Weather Service will continue our long-standing partnership to provide weather services to ensure the safety of the National Airspace System," an FAA spokesperson  told USA TODAY  in a statement.

10pm Hurricane Rafael Update

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Winds are now 80 mph and still increasing.

It All Comes Down to a Squirrel

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Wall Street Journal   Why in the world would New York's Democrat government go to the trouble to raid a home and then spend five hours ransacking the home  -- which was part of a wildlife refuge -- because of a healthy squirrel? There's only one reason: it is to send a message: " We are the government, we have the muscle and the force, and you better not cross us!" Does this sound like America to you? I wasn't planning to write an election day message this year. But, the horrific treatment of Peanut the Squirrel and its owners changed my mind. This is America  for gosh sakes. "Land of the Free, Home of the Brave." This sort of planned, and ever more frequent, governmental abuse cannot stand.  As usual, President Reagan said it best: If freedom in America falls, there is no other refuge.  While I wish Donald Trump was stronger on the First Amendment, Kamala Harris has made it clear, many times, she has no respect for individual rights whatsoever. As Snop

3-Day Rainfall to 10pm Monday

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More than eight inches in parts of Oklahoma and Arkansas. 

Updated 5:50pm: Tornado Forecast for Today and Tonight

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Newest Tornado Watch As mentioned below, it turns out the chance of tornadoes south of my red outline has increased. Please keep an eye on the weather in this region the rest of the evening..until midnight. My Forecast Until 8pm I believe there will be several tornadoes yet this afternoon and evening in the red outlined area. Please continue to monitor the latest weather information for possible warnings. There is also a lesser risk of tornadoes in the Texarkana to Paris to Tyler area. It would be wise to keep an eye on the weather in that area, also.  Forecasting note for meteorologists: Since the mid-1970's, we've known that scattered supercells ahead of a line are a favored area for tornado formation. That is probably going to be the case this evening.  New Tornado Watch, 1:35pm 2:20pm Update Two independent forecast techniques indicates that the risk for tornadoes is rapidly increasing in the outlined area. This includes southeast Kansas which was not highlighted in other